Our Greece vs Germany prediction leans towards a tight game in Thessaloniki tonight, with Germany slight favourites but Greece full of confidence after beating them in Augsburg just a week ago. Greece top Nations League Group A2 with seven points, while Jürgen Klopp’s Germany sit third on four and badly need a result. Kick-off at Toumba Stadium is 9:45pm East Africa Time.
Greece vs Germany: Key Match Facts
- Competition: UEFA Nations League, League A, Group A2 (Matchday 4)
- Date: Sunday 4 October 2026
- Kick-off: 9:45pm EAT
- Venue: Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
- Head coaches: Ivan Jovanović (Greece), Jürgen Klopp (Germany)
- Greece form in this group: W W D
- Germany form in this group: D L W
Group A2 Table Before Kick-off
- Greece: 7 points (goals 5-3)
- Netherlands: 5 points (goals 5-4)
- Germany: 4 points (goals 3-2)
- Serbia: 0 points (goals 2-6)
The top two in each League A group reach the quarter-finals, so this is a big night for both sides. A Greece win would open up a real gap on Germany, while a German win would pull them level with Greece on seven points. The Netherlands host Serbia at the same time, so the table could look very different by the end of the evening.
Greece: Riding the Wave
This is Greece’s first campaign in League A, and so far they have made it look easy. They opened with a 2-1 win away to Serbia, then made history on 27 September by beating Germany 1-0 in Augsburg. Midfielder Kourbelis scored the winner in the 76th minute, and it was the first time Greece had ever beaten Germany after ten previous meetings without a win.
On Thursday they came very close to another famous result. Greece led the Netherlands 2-0 at half-time through Fotis Ioannidis and Georgios Masouras, but the Dutch fought back to draw 2-2, with Tijjani Reijnders equalising in the 89th minute. That late goal will sting, but the performance showed Greece can hurt anyone.
Greece team news
The main concern for Jovanović is Christos Tzolis. The winger picked up a thigh injury early in the game against the Netherlands and is expected to miss this match. Tzolis has been one of Greece’s most dangerous players, so his absence is a real blow. Masouras, who scored on Thursday, is the most likely player to take on a bigger role in attack.
Germany: Klopp Still Building
Klopp’s reign has started with plenty of experimentation. He has been rotating his squad heavily and handing chances to a large group of uncapped players, which partly explains the uneven results. Germany drew 1-1 with the Netherlands on matchday one, lost at home to Greece, then got Klopp’s first win in charge with a 2-0 victory over Serbia on Thursday.
That Serbia win was more convincing, and the Germans kept a clean sheet, which will please Klopp ahead of a tough trip to a hostile Toumba.
Germany team news
Serge Gnabry was left out of the travelling squad, with the move described in Germany as managing his workload. Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala are also reported to be unavailable. Germany still have plenty of quality, but missing that much creativity makes it harder for them to break down a well-organised Greek side.
Greece vs Germany Odds
The betting market makes Germany favourites despite the result in Augsburg. Prices for an away win are around 1.85 to 1.90, the draw is around 3.90, and Greece are available at roughly 3.75 to 4.10 depending on the bookmaker. Odds move quickly on international nights, so check the latest prices on JetBet before you place a bet.
Greece vs Germany Prediction
Germany should have more of the ball, and Klopp’s side will be far more motivated than they were a week ago. However, Greece have scored in all three group games, they will have a loud home crowd behind them, and they have already proven they can frustrate Germany.
Without Tzolis, Greece lose some of their counter-attacking threat, and Germany’s clean sheet against Serbia suggests they are tightening up. We expect a close, competitive game where Germany avoid defeat but find it hard to pull away.
- Main pick: Germany or draw (double chance)
- Alternative pick: Both teams to score
- Predicted score: Greece 1-2 Germany
The double chance pick protects you if Greece hold on for another draw, while both teams to score backs Greece’s strong scoring record in this group. Remember that no prediction is certain, especially in a fixture where the underdog has already won once.
For more previews, see our latest football predictions, our France vs Italy prediction from earlier in this international window, and our JetBet Kenya guide for help with registration and payments. Official fixtures and tables are on the UEFA Nations League website.
FAQ
What time is Greece vs Germany in Kenya?
Greece vs Germany kicks off at 9:45pm East Africa Time on Sunday 4 October 2026 at Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki.
Did Greece beat Germany in the Nations League?
Yes. Greece won 1-0 in Augsburg on 27 September 2026, their first ever victory over Germany.
Who is the Germany coach?
Jürgen Klopp is the Germany head coach, and he recorded his first win in charge with a 2-0 victory over Serbia on 1 October.
What is the best bet for Greece vs Germany?
Our main pick is Germany or draw on the double chance market, with both teams to score as an alternative and a 1-2 predicted score.
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