Our Bayern vs Arsenal prediction is a tight, low-scoring game at the Allianz Arena on Wednesday night, with a 1-1 draw the most likely outcome. Bayern are without the suspended Michael Olise and the injured Jamal Musiala, while Arsenal arrive as the only side yet to concede a goal in this season’s Champions League. Kick-off is 10:00pm EAT.
This is the standout fixture of Matchday 3: the Bundesliga champions against the Premier League champions, with both clubs unbeaten in Europe so far. Here is everything you need to know before you place a bet.
Key Facts: Bayern vs Arsenal
- Competition: UEFA Champions League, league phase, Matchday 3
- Date: Wednesday, 21 October 2026
- Kick-off: 10:00pm EAT
- Venue: Allianz Arena, Munich
- Bayern Champions League form: W 5-0 vs Bodo/Glimt, D 3-3 at Viking (4 points)
- Arsenal Champions League form: W 1-0 at Napoli, W 3-0 vs Lille (6 points, no goals conceded)
- Coaches: Vincent Kompany (Bayern, doubtful with illness), Mikel Arteta (Arsenal)
You can compare this fixture with every other game on tonight’s card on our Bayern vs Arsenal prediction page and the full Champions League predictions hub.
Bayern Team News
Bayern go into this one short of two of their most creative players. Michael Olise is suspended after being sent off in the 3-3 draw at Viking, and Jamal Musiala is ruled out with a thigh muscle injury. Losing both takes a lot of invention away from the attacking midfield line behind Harry Kane.
Defender Kim Min-jae is a doubt after picking up a knock in the weekend win over RB Leipzig. In goal, Manuel Neuer is back in training after a foot problem, and the club says the call between him and Jonas Urbig will be made late.
There is also uncertainty on the touchline. Vincent Kompany has a viral infection, and the club confirmed that his assistants Aaron Danks and Rene Maric will lead the team if he cannot make it. Danks told the club’s official channels that every detail, including set pieces, will decide the game.
Arsenal Team News
Arsenal are still without William Saliba, who has a back problem, while Piero Hincapie (ankle) and Christos Tzolis (hamstring) are also expected to miss out. The good news for Arteta is that Martin Zubimendi has shaken off a minor ankle issue and Jurrien Timber is back in contention after injury.
Even without Saliba, the defence has been outstanding. Arsenal have kept clean sheets in both European games and edged Nottingham Forest 1-0 on Sunday, a result we covered in our Forest 0-1 Arsenal report. Before that, they beat Lille 3-0 at the Emirates, which you can read about in our Arsenal 3-0 Lille recap.
Form Guide
Bayern
Bayern are unbeaten in all competitions this season and are scoring freely. They hit Bodo/Glimt for five on Matchday 1 and thrashed RB Leipzig 6-1 in the Bundesliga at the weekend. The one wobble came in Norway, where they led Viking through two Kane goals and one from Luis Diaz before being pegged back late after Olise’s red card.
Arsenal
Arsenal have not been as explosive, but they are very hard to beat. They have won 14 league-phase matches in a row in this competition, according to Bayern’s own match preview. Their pressing is aggressive and they rarely give up clear chances. Their only heavy defeat this season came at Brighton in the Premier League.
Head-to-Head Record
History favours Bayern in Munich. The German side have won five of their seven Champions League home games against Arsenal and have won the last three of those. Arsenal’s only win at the Allianz Arena came back in the 2012-13 season.
The most recent meeting went the other way, though. Arsenal beat Bayern 3-1 at the Emirates in the league phase last season, and Serge Gnabry admitted this week that Bayern feel they have a score to settle. Kane also has a strong record against his old north London rivals, with 15 goals in 22 games against Arsenal.
Bayern vs Arsenal Odds
Early market prices make Bayern slight favourites at home, with Arsenal the outsiders and the draw priced in between. Given Bayern’s absences and Arsenal’s defensive record, we think the gap between the two sides is narrower than those prices suggest. Always check the latest JetBet odds close to kick-off, as team news can move the market.
Bayern vs Arsenal Prediction and Best Tip
Bayern have the home crowd and the best striker on the pitch in Kane, but Olise and Musiala are two huge losses for the way they create chances. A possible absence for Kompany in the dugout adds another layer of uncertainty.
Arsenal, meanwhile, are built to frustrate. They have not conceded in Europe this season, they defend set pieces well and they are comfortable keeping games tight. We expect a cagey first half and a more open final 30 minutes.
- Main pick: Under 3.5 goals
- Correct score: Bayern 1-1 Arsenal
- Player to watch: Harry Kane, anytime scorer
Our reasoning: both sides have strong defensive structures, Bayern’s attack is weakened and Arsenal tend to take few risks in big away games. A share of the points would keep both clubs well placed in the top half of the league phase table.
For the official squad updates, see the UEFA Champions League website.
FAQs: Bayern vs Arsenal
What time is Bayern vs Arsenal in Kenya?
Bayern vs Arsenal kicks off at 10:00pm East Africa Time on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, at the Allianz Arena in Munich.
Is Olise playing for Bayern against Arsenal?
No. Michael Olise is suspended after his red card against Viking, and Jamal Musiala is also out injured.
Have Arsenal conceded in the Champions League this season?
Not yet. Arsenal beat Napoli 1-0 and Lille 3-0 and are the only team yet to concede in this season’s competition.
What is the best bet for Bayern vs Arsenal?
Our pick is under 3.5 goals, with a 1-1 draw as the correct score suggestion. Check live JetBet odds before kick-off.
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