Our Netherlands vs Serbia prediction is a home win in Eindhoven tonight. Xavi’s Netherlands are second in Nations League Group A2 and need three points to keep pace with leaders Greece, while Serbia have lost all three of their games and are fighting to avoid relegation from League A. Kick-off at the Philips Stadion is 9:45pm East Africa Time.
Netherlands vs Serbia: Key Match Facts
- Competition: UEFA Nations League, League A, Group A2 (Matchday 4)
- Date: Sunday 4 October 2026
- Kick-off: 9:45pm EAT
- Venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
- Head coaches: Xavi Hernández (Netherlands), Veljko Paunović (Serbia)
- Netherlands form in this group: D W D
- Serbia form in this group: L L L
Group A2 Standings
- Greece: 7 points
- Netherlands: 5 points
- Germany: 4 points
- Serbia: 0 points
Only the top two teams in each League A group go through to the quarter-finals. Greece host Germany at the same time tonight, so a Dutch win could move Xavi’s side to the top of the group if Greece slip up. For Serbia, the bottom of the group means relegation to League B, and they cannot afford many more defeats.
Netherlands: Unbeaten but Leaving Points Behind
The Netherlands have not lost in this group, but two draws mean they are already chasing. They opened with a 1-1 draw against Germany, then beat Serbia 2-1 in Belgrade on 27 September, when Meerdink scored twice, once from the penalty spot. On Thursday they were 2-0 down at half-time in Greece before goals from Virgil van Dijk and a late Tijjani Reijnders equaliser earned a 2-2 draw.
That comeback showed great character, but Xavi will want a much faster start tonight. It is also a special night for Van Dijk, who is set to win his 100th cap for his country.
Netherlands team news
Xavi has a few problems to deal with. Cody Gakpo has been ruled out for the rest of this international window, which removes one of the team’s most dangerous forwards. Defender Jan Paul van Hecke has withdrawn with a foot injury picked up in the first game against Serbia, and striker Brian Brobbey is also out. With three games in a short space of time, Xavi is reported to be considering several changes to his starting line-up.
Serbia: Searching for a First Point
It has been a very difficult campaign for Paunović. Serbia lost 2-1 at home to Greece on the opening matchday, then lost 2-1 at home to the Netherlands, when Luka Jović scored just after half-time to give them brief hope. On Thursday they were beaten 2-0 by Germany.
They have scored only twice in three games and conceded six, and they have struggled to keep opponents away from their goal. A trip to Eindhoven to face a Dutch side looking to bounce back is about as tough as it gets.
Serbia team news
There is no confirmed fresh injury news from the Serbia camp. Paunović is expected to make some changes after the defeat to Germany, but supporters should wait for the official line-ups about an hour before kick-off.
Netherlands vs Serbia Odds
The Netherlands are heavy favourites. Prices for a home win are around 1.15 to 1.20, while Serbia are long outsiders at well above 10.0 with some bookmakers. At such short odds, the straight home win offers little value on its own, so many punters will look at goal markets, handicaps or combining the Dutch win with another selection. Check the latest odds on JetBet before placing a bet, as prices often shift once line-ups are announced.
Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction
The Netherlands have the stronger squad, home advantage in Eindhoven and the pressure of needing a win to keep up with Greece. Serbia have shown some fight, scoring in their games against Greece and the Netherlands, but they have lost every match and defensive errors keep costing them.
The one note of caution is that the Dutch only beat Serbia by a single goal in Belgrade last week, and they will be without Gakpo. Even so, we expect Xavi’s side to control the game and win.
- Main pick: Netherlands to win and over 1.5 goals
- Alternative pick: Netherlands to win to nil
- Predicted score: Netherlands 2-0 Serbia
The main pick adds a little value to the short home price, while the win to nil option suits punters who think Serbia’s attack will struggle away from home. No prediction is ever guaranteed, so stake sensibly.
For more international previews, browse our football predictions, read the France vs Italy prediction from this window, and see our JetBet Kenya guide for help getting started. You can follow official results and tables on the UEFA Nations League website.
FAQ
What time is Netherlands vs Serbia in Kenya?
Netherlands vs Serbia kicks off at 9:45pm East Africa Time on Sunday 4 October 2026 at the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven.
Who is the Netherlands coach?
Xavi Hernández is the Netherlands head coach. His side are second in Group A2 with five points from three games.
Is Cody Gakpo playing for the Netherlands against Serbia?
No. Gakpo has been ruled out for the rest of the October international window.
What is the best bet for Netherlands vs Serbia?
Our main pick is Netherlands to win and over 1.5 goals, with a 2-0 home win the predicted score.
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