Our Portugal vs Norway prediction is a home win for Portugal, but with Norway finding the net, when the sides meet again in Porto on Sunday night. Portugal have won all three Nations League games so far, including a 2-1 win in Oslo last weekend, while Norway have scored in every match of the campaign.
Kick-off at the Estadio do Dragao is at 21:45 EAT, and a Portugal win would put them in a commanding position at the top of Group A4.
Portugal vs Norway: key facts
- Competition: UEFA Nations League, League A, Group A4 (Matchday 4)
- Date: Sunday 4 October 2026
- Kick-off: 21:45 EAT
- Venue: Estadio do Dragao, Porto
- Coaches: Jorge Jesus (Portugal), Stale Solbakken (Norway)
- Portugal form (Nations League): W 1-0 vs Wales, W 2-1 at Norway, W 4-2 at Denmark
- Norway form (Nations League): W 3-2 vs Denmark, L 1-2 vs Portugal, L 1-2 at Wales
- Group A4 table: Portugal 9 pts, Denmark 3, Norway 3, Wales 3
Portugal vs Norway prediction: form guide
Portugal: perfect start under Jorge Jesus
Jorge Jesus could hardly have asked for a better beginning as Portugal coach. His side edged Wales 1-0, won 2-1 in Oslo on 27 September and then produced their most impressive display yet with a 4-2 victory in Denmark on Thursday. Nine points from nine leaves Portugal six clear of the rest of the group.
The win in Denmark showed a team growing in confidence in attack, although conceding twice will give Jesus something to work on. Cristiano Ronaldo was named in his first squad, and Portugal have a deep pool of attacking talent to choose from for a home game they will expect to control. Reports in Portugal suggest Francisco Conceicao has been assessed after a thigh problem, so his involvement is worth checking when the line-ups are released.
Norway: dangerous but inconsistent
Norway opened the campaign with an entertaining 3-2 win over Denmark, but they have lost both games since, going down 2-1 at home to Portugal and then 2-1 in Wales on Thursday night. That leaves them level on three points with Denmark and Wales, and a third straight defeat would leave them with plenty to do in the second half of the group phase.
The positive for Stale Solbakken is that his side keep scoring. Erling Haaland is expected to lead the line, and any team with a striker of his quality always has a chance. The issue has been at the other end, with Norway conceding twice in each of their last two matches.
Head to head
Portugal have dominated this fixture over the years, and they won the most recent meeting 2-1 in Oslo just a week before this rematch. Norway will need to be far more solid defensively if they are to get anything in Porto.
Team news
Portugal
No major injuries have been confirmed. Francisco Conceicao is reported to have needed an assessment on a thigh issue. Jesus may make changes after a demanding win in Denmark three days earlier.
Norway
Haaland is expected to start. Solbakken may freshen up a defence that has conceded four goals in the last two games, and confirmed line-ups will be out roughly an hour before kick-off.
Prediction
Portugal are at home, unbeaten in the group and full of confidence after scoring four in Denmark. They also beat Norway on their own ground last weekend, so they know they have the tools to hurt this side. However, Norway have scored in all three of their Nations League games and have a striker capable of punishing any lapse, so a clean sheet for the hosts is far from guaranteed.
Our pick: Portugal to win and both teams to score. Predicted score: Portugal 2-1 Norway.
If you prefer a simpler bet, Portugal to win is the main angle, while over 2.5 goals also looks reasonable given both sides’ recent games. Prices can move once line-ups are confirmed, so check the latest odds on JetBet before you bet.
More Nations League coverage
Catch up on Friday’s results in our France 1-1 Italy report and Belgium 3-0 Turkey report, read our Spain vs Czechia prediction, and find more tips on our predictions page. Official fixtures and standings are on the UEFA Nations League website.
FAQs
What time is Portugal vs Norway in Kenya?
Portugal vs Norway kicks off at 21:45 EAT on Sunday 4 October 2026.
Where is Portugal vs Norway being played?
The match takes place at the Estadio do Dragao in Porto, Portugal.
Who won the last Portugal vs Norway game?
Portugal won 2-1 in Oslo on 27 September 2026 in the Nations League.
What is the Portugal vs Norway prediction?
We are backing Portugal to win with both teams scoring, and our predicted score is Portugal 2-1 Norway.
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